How’s That Gonna Work?: More Questions for the City About MIZ

The City of Seattle is stomping ahead with it’s ill advised Mandatory Inclusionary Zoning (MIZ) scheme. Now the Council is being battered around by angry neighbors in the north end of the city over the U District uponzones. The fact that the City Council is deaf to our concerns — that MIZ makes many housing projects infeasible, that when they do work it’s because MIZ is inflationary and will push up housing coasts broadly to pay for the scheme, and that the whole thing is an illegal and unauthorized tax — is frustrating. But imagine being the staff that has to put it together. As Councilmembers make more and more unreasonable requests from an already poorly conceived idea, it must feel like being a stunt person or someone taking a dare. “See if you can figure out how to write code that will repeal upzones in case they are ruled illegal.” OMG. I sent this and if I don’t get an answer in about ten days, I’ll do a public disclosure request on all internal e-mails related to the request. I’m just being Mr. Curious
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Hello Ketil (and Lish and Aly),I hope you all had a great holiday. Now it’s back to work, right? And what a job you’ve got. Here’s what Councilmember Mike O’Brien says he wants to do with the upcoming legislation for the U District (from George Howland’s recent post): 

Seattle City Councilmember Mike O’Brien, PLUZ’s vice chair, is determined to link all upzones to the affordable-housing requirements. “Those two things should be tied together so if one is removed, the other is removed,” he says.

 
How would you do that in the code? 
 
My understanding is that the framework is already codified and completed the SEPA process. And the way this whole thing would work, is that the framework sits in the code, inert, until upzones happen. No upzones, no inclusion and fees. Furthermore, my understanding is that the upzones being considered in the U District and for MIZ implementation are legislative upzones; once those changes are made, those too are in the code for good and also would have cleared SEPA. 
 
So in order to change the framework, wouldn’t any significant change require a full SEPA review? Would a downzone (if the upzones were ‘undone’) require SEPA too? 
 
So how do you create legislation that does a downzone if the framework is somehow compromised? 
 
The short answer, I guess, is that it is done through legislation just like any other land use change. But wouldn’t that take a long time? And wouldn’t projects taking the additional height be entitled to it once they are vested to the changed MIZ code? How would Council ‘claw back’ the FAR? 
 
Also, I appreciate your memo bringing up feasibility, specifically, this paragraph: 

Increased development costs resulting from such changes may influence the feasibility of high-rise projects in the U District and may result in increased rents for market rate units. It is difficult to determine the extent this modification would have on future development given the range of factors that contribute to the feasibility of any given development project. 

 
Now we’ve been saying this for a long time. We’re glad to see Central Staff pointing it out. Geoff Wendtland said the same thing in public, but I’m not sure it’s been in writing anywhere. One of the Chairs of the HALA Committee, Faith Pettis, disputed Geoff’s comment, 
 

How would [paying fees] not increase the rate of the, increase the price of the market rate units on that development? And that’s a great question. And it is, um, a trade off and I think part of the policy and it may be the case that the market rate units have to, to some extent subsidize the inclusion of the affordable units and that it is a valid way to view the program. But uh, the proposal and the fees that are being proposed and set are such that we feel pretty confident that development will still be feasible and we would work with the development community that we wouldn’t be over impacting feasibility (the full exchange is in this video starting at about 49:45)

 
Here’s her comment, and to be fair, I’ll include her whole comment without editing. 
 
Roger,
We want to set the record straight.  Your statement, taken from your below email:

We have already expressed substantive disagreement: Mandatory Inclusionary Zoning (MIZ) is an inflationary policy that will only make housing prices worse for consumers by adding additional costs and slowing production with inclusion mandates and fees. The City and the Chairs of the HALA Committee have publicly agreed that this “a valid way to view the program.”

is flat out wrong.  Neither of us made the statement you are attributing to us and furthermore neither of us agrees with your larger misconstruction of a supposed point.  We request that you not misquote us or twist our statements to appear to serve your interests.
Faith Pettis and David Wertheimer
HALA Co-Chairs
Lish, Aly, and Ketil do you agree with Geoff that rents are likely to go up to accommodate the fees and inclusion, especially if they are increased, even from 9 to 10 percent? Is this, as he suggests, “a valid way to view the program?” And if Council changes“the proposal and the fees that are being proposed and set,” won’t this negatively impact feasibility? I ask these questions because we’re genuinely concerned that this proposal won’t get better in terms of feasibility, only worse from our point of view, after the U District process unfolds. Any thoughts, even of a general and procedural nature, would be very interesting to hear. I really do appreciate the work you all do. Thank you!  

Deregulating the Arts in Seattle

It’s a familiar pattern. An arts organization lands a great deal on space in Seattle. The new space is flexible, allows for artists to be noisy and make a lot of dust preparing and tearing down shows, and it’s super cheap. Somehow nobody noticed that big white sign out in front, the one with the “Death to Capitalists!” graffiti.

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It’s called a MUP (Master Use Permit) board, and it indicates the site is about to be redeveloped. When? Who knows? It’s part of the challenge all new building faces, unpredictable permitting. The board explains a lot about why the site is so cheap and why nobody really cares about how the space gets used.

Still our hypothetical arts groups is happy with the space — and it’s working! Attendance is up. Lots of people are hearing about the innovative things being incubated in the space. Artists are hitting a creative stride, audiences are having fun and being challenged, and enough money is coming in the door to just about off set the costs. Then one night the fire marshall shows up: the space has too many people in it. The arts group has a choice, bring the space up to code, which could cost tens of thousands of dollars, or limit attendance, or shut down. Soon the venue is shut down. The building gets redeveloped into housing. Everyone says, “All this development is killing the soul of Seattle.”

I shake my head and sigh. I’ve been here before.

More than 10 years ago I addressed this issue as an arts funder. When I was at the County we built a program called Art Patch that was part educational outreach to artists about health and business but also funding art too. This scenario became all too common as the city was growing before the last economic collapse in 2008. What’s the answer. I wrote a proposal in the Seattle Times about ideas to prevent this AND keep building housing. It’s a long story. But Seattle is facing the same issues again.

The Arts Commission wrote a letter with some great recommendations to the City Council and Mayor. Two dangers lie ahead. One is that this becomes about race and social justice. Already references to the tragic fire in Oakland have been made and implications also about the disproportionality of the experience I described — the suggestion is being made that more organizations of color are being impacted. We don’t need to do all that. I know, I know. We don’t.

And we don’t need to blame growth and greedy developers for knocking down sites that have been great venues. We need to work together for a change. The one group in town the struggles with the same regulatory gauntlet is housing producers, both market rate and non-profit.  The second danger is making this the same Seattle routine about economic and social repression and issuing fiats and mandates from downtown instead of figuring out ways to meet health and safety standards at lower costs. Please. Let’s do that. And let’s look at Transfer of Development Rights (TDR) to help preserve low-rise buildings that could have a much longer life as arts and cultural venues if the unused FAR could be used somewhere else.

The tragedy in Oakland unfolded in minutes, killing human potential. Everyday a slower fire is killing off hope as well in the form of housing scarcity. Much of this slow motion tragedy, a story of talented artists giving up on trying to make a living and be creative in Seattle, is self imposed by our code. We can be safe, successful, creative, and build a better, more diverse city. But it won’t happen picking out villains and victims but combining forces to solve the problems (the featured image for this post is from a Seattle Weekly feature on arts and growth in Seattle).

For what it was worth, I offered my experience and of the development community to work to address this issue. There is a great program in Chicago that I learned about my last time around on this issues. Here’s what I sent the Commission and Council. We’ll see if we go the route of working together or of putting more of a squeeze on growth which is sure to make the problem worse.

Hello [Matthew and Councilmember Herbold],

While we are an organization that is working for more housing of all types, in all parts of the city, for people of all incomes, we also agree that arts and cultural venues are what make a great city.
We support the spirit of your recommendations which seek to meet basic health and safety requirements without necessarily fully complying with all code requirements. Your take on this is absolutely correct: compliance is along a spectrum, and goal is health and safety of patrons and the community, not simply complying for compliance sake.
We face many of the same issues in trying to deliver safe, affordable, and livable housing for people who need it. Often we’re confronted with the same issues, code requirements that push up the size and the price of units, for example, to meet arbitrary square footage requirements.
I also am trying to reconnect with Julie Burros who is now head of the arts and cultural office in Boston but who several years ago was working on the issue in Chicago. Chicago received a MacArthur Grant to address this issue (you can read about it here:  https://www.macfound.org/press/press-releases/new-macarthur-fund-to-help-small-chicago-arts-groups-obtain-city-licenses/).
In any event, if there is anyway we can be supportive of this kind of effort please let us know and I’ll share what I learn about what happened in Chicago
Roger

Summary of Conversation with Julie Burros on January 6, 2017

Background

Beginning in 2003 through 2007 the City of Chicago began an update of its electrical code that had an impact on many small and medium size theaters in older buildings. During the update the City’s arts office engaged with theater groups and the departments responsible for writing and implementing the changes to identify ways to help theaters through the transition. What emerged was some compromises on implementation and interpretation of code that aimed at achieving health and safety at minimal cost through the Performing Arts Venue (PAV) License Program. The PAV program included funding from the MacArthur Foundation to help theater groups comply with the minimums of various codes (e.g. electrical, fire, building) and a staff person to support organization with everything from paperwork to construction management. The resources incentivized organization to become licensed and compliant with basic requirement in the efficient and affordable way possible.

Why Has the PAV Program Been a Success?

Burros attributed the success of the program to three things:

  1. Engagement by arts organizations in the somewhat mundane world of code implementation – Arts organizations are busy doing what they do best, art, not tracking issues related to zoning, land use, and various codes that impact the use of buildings. But with the help of the City’s arts office, arts organizations were at the table and so were able to favorably influence how codes were written, updated, and implemented.
  2. Funding – the resources from the grant provided technical support but also money to make the fixes and updates to spaces to bring them into compliance. This was a big incentive for organizations to upgrade their space. It wasn’t that groups didn’t want to have safe venues, but worries about costs discouraged them from even trying.
  3. Staff support – the single point of staff contact meant that groups had an ally outside the City process who could help them through the various steps, advocate for favorable interpretation of the code, and provide technical support from the beginning to the end of the process

Leasing and Owning

At the time, Chicago did not have tremendous supply problems with space, so leases could be favorable and extended. Bringing the PAV license and improvements tended to improve lease terms for arts organizations since it the program would end up improving the asset without any capital investment from the owner.

 

 

Mayor and City Council Still Riding the MIZ Tiger. But for How Long?

A couple of more cracks appeared in Mandatory Inclusionary Zoning (MIZ) in the last couple weeks. First, Councilmembers are beginning to take the idea of a lawsuit seriously and they haven’t figured out what to do if it is successful. Second, growing pressure from angry neighbors about U District upzones is taking its toll on wavering Councilmembers, and they’re looking for a way out, trying to appease the mob by increasing performance requirements (higher fees, and higher percentages of inclusion). But Council’s own staff are smart enough to warn them that doing that has its downsides. Councilmembers and the Mayor have started closing in on themselves, trying to follow their typical script of appeasing neighbors, but realizing the more they do, the weaker their position is legally.

Let’s take a look at the Council’s worry about what to do if a lawsuit is successful. Now, I’m not a mind reader, but the fact that Councilmember Mike O’Brien and Herbold have both been quoted on the record talking about ‘what if’ scenarios in the case of successful lawsuit means they’re worried. Usually, O’Brien dismisses these things with a hand wave. Here’s Obrien and Herbold in a well reported story by George Howland who asked the question,

What will happen if the builders overturn the affordable-housing law in court? Will developers get to keep the upzones but not have to build any affordable housing in return? Seattle City Councilmember Lisa Herbold, a member if the Planning, Land Use and Zoning Committee (PLUZ), states, “My understanding is that there is nothing in the proposed [U District upzoning]…that will require that if the… affordable-housing obligations are struck down the zoning changes are also repealed.”

Seattle City Councilmember Mike O’Brien, PLUZ’s vice chair, is determined to link all upzones to the affordable-housing requirements. “Those two things should be tied together so if one is removed, the other is removed,” he says.

This thread was picked up by Daniel Person from the Seattle Weekly. Howland and Person are catching up with a dearth of reporting on the real nature of the Grand Bargain and MIZ over the last two years. I pointed out the bind the Council is in:

“We’re not going to challenge the legislative upzone. We’ll challenge the (affordable housing) framework. And when the framework fails…(the city council) could go back and vote to repeal the upzone. But it’s not going to be automatic” and would not invalidate permits issued under the previous rules.

As I’ve said before, some of the smartest brains I know work on Council Central staff, and one I’m always in awe of is Ketil Freeman. If anyone can get the Council out of this straightjacket it’s him. But how? The way the Mayor structured the whole MIZ scheme depends on the framework. It’s in the code now, without numbers, awaiting legislative upzones. And here’s the thing, it’s already completed the State Environmental Policy Act (SEPA) process. It’s not like the Council can go back and do anything significant to the framework without essentially starting over again. And if upzones are passed, its a done deal. Council could simply go back and delete them I suppose, but they can’t take back built out square footage. There’s no way to make a builder knock down some percent of her building. And it’s likely that any win would mean the City would have to give the money back too. 

Thanks to Council Central staff, which is entirely independent of Mayor Murray’s legion of pliant bureaucrats writing the and pushing the tortured upzones and who put together the framework legislation, comes a startling realization embedded in a briefing  document that is part of the discussion of the U District upzones:

Increased development costs resulting from such changes may influence the feasibility of high-rise projects in the U District and may result in increased rents for market rate units. It is difficult to determine the extent this modification would have on future development given the range of factors that contribute to the feasibility of any given development project.

Now we already have one of the Mayor’s staff, Geoff Wendtland on video saying more or less the same thing. But I’m pretty sure that if asked to put it in writing as Council Central Staff did, he’d do what he’s been doing for more than a year now: ignore the request. But hunkering in the cubicle bunker isn’t going to save MIZ. What the above paragraph is referring to is a possible 1 percent increase in the inclusion requirement from, get this, 9 percent to 10 percent! Just 1 little ol’ percent. Does anyone believe that this increase will assuage angry neighbors? Watch the pressure to take that percentage higher and higher, and watch Councilmembers trying to be social justice and neighborhood champions do just that to slake the thirst of the mob. Every time they dial up the exaction, it makes our case incrementally stronger.

Smart folks at City Hall and in the Municipal Tower know that MIZ is a failed policy in the making. And its getting clearer and clearer everyday. There is yet another hearing on the U District upzones and I’m sure we’ll see lots of security and muscle holding crowds at bay and creating snaking lines of people wanting to register their opinion and rage about the upzones. The Council is afraid of the monster it has created. As the old saying goes though, those that try to ride the tiger, usually end up inside.

Hey Wallingford: Developers and Builders Didn’t Ask for and Won’t Benefit from MIZ

There are so many really dubious arguments being advanced by the Wallingford Community Council (WCC) and by wannabe Councilmember Alex Pedersen against upzones in the U District, that knocking them all down could take weeks. It’d be a lot easier for them and everyone involved if they’d just say what they mean and what they want: we’re worried about the effect change and growth will have on us, make it stop. But most of the angry neighbors engage in the usual, “I’m all for growth and change, just the right kind of growth and change.” It’s the Goldilocks Principle of growth. No surprise.  I’m only here to take on one bad idea, the biggie, that developers want and will somehow benefit from upzones as part of Mandatory Inclusionary Zoning (MIZ).

Here’s the phrases embedded in an invitation to a meeting last Saturday about the proposed upzones, emphasis is mine,

The HALA Mandatory Housing Affordability program rewards developers and speculators, while Seattle residents pay the price.  This “Grand Bargain” devised by Seattle’s Mayor and City Council . .

and

 . . . learn more about the Mayor and City Council’s plans for a developer giveaway under the guise of affordability

I guess the WCC must have missed it, but for the last two years we’ve been opposing MIZ because it adds costs, slows down the development process, and contributes to higher costs and makes many projects infeasible. So, yes, it is a “giveaway under the guise of affordability,” but not a giveaway to us. There are no rewards or upsides in MIZ for builders of housing. The Mayor himself has called the fees that would be paid instead of inclusion a “penalty,” something also clearly illegal. And who gets the money collected from fees generated when builders and developers pay the “penalty?” More on that “giveaway” in a minute.

As I’ve said again and again, MIZ makes many projects infeasible, and when they do work it will be because rents rise enough to pay for the inclusion or the fees. In the end, MIZ is illegal since it is an unauthorized tax on housing not a value exchange program that would essentially sell additional square feet for housing development. And the so called Bargain was not between developers and the City, but between one developer, Vulcan, non-profit developers who get the fees, and Councilmember Mike O’Brien.

What the WCC gets right about the whole MIZ scheme is that it will raise housing prices. 

Every new MHA building will increase the cost of housing in Seattle

That, WCC, is absolutely true! And you ought tot be going after the organizations that are really pushing the MIZ scheme, non-profit housing developers that want the fees that will be collected by the upzones. 

Pedersen essentially recycles most of this language in his missive but in all caps says this,

VOICE YOUR CONCERN OVER POORLY PLANNED, PROFIT-DRIVEN UPZONES.

Poorly planned. Agreed. Profit driven? All I can do is point to the fact that we are opposed to MIZ and what the same “City Hall ideologues” who are pushing this horrible plan without any regard for the devastating consequences it will have on the housing economy in Seattle. The upzones are not profit driven from our perspective. We never asked for them! We weren’t in the room or represented when the Grand Bargain was signed. Let me remind the WCC and Pedersen what the Mayor, in an unscripted moment without legal advisors present, said about a year ago of the upzones:

The heart of HALA is you don’t get to develop housing in this city, multifamily housing, unless you build affordable housing as part of it. That is the key piece to it. We have developed . . . .We have grown as a city, but we have not grown affordably. What we are saying is, if you are going to build a multifamily unit in an urban village, you are going to build affordable housing, or you are going to pay penalties that will go into a fund for building affordable housing.

The Mayor is trying to penalize developers except for Vulcan and larger developers downtown who get to write a check and get on with their projects. Everyone else that builds housing in the city will be faced with, as I said above, infeasibility, uncertainty, and having to raise their prices to cover the costs of either upzones and inclusion or from the fees. And don’t forget the other winners in this are the non-profit developers at the Housing Development Consortium (HDC) that get those fees to build really expensive subsidized units with years long waiting lists. That’s the real giveaway here folks. 

So WCC et al, if you want to create some real discomfort, go after the organizations that signed the deal and want the cash. Those organizations (here’s a list of HDC members, and you’ll see many for profit banks, architects, and lawyers who profit from low income housing) are the ones that are pushing the whole MIZ effort along with Vulcan. We had nothing to do with it, and will likely eventually sue the City because MIZ is plainly an illegal, unauthorized tax on housing under RCW 82.02.020. This whole thing is a tragic waste of time. But don’t blame developers and builders. We had nothing to do with it.

 

Bright Idea Department: Democracy Vouchers

In snail mail boxes all over Seattle, registered voters are getting an unusual envelope filled with something called, “Democracy Vouchers.” Each registered voter in town will get $100 worth of vouchers in $25 increments. The idea is that anyone with a voucher can give it to the candidate of their choice provided that the candidate agree to certain limits on their fundraising. The candidate must:

  • File for office;
  • Collect requisite signatures and contributions (e.g. 400 signatures and $10 per signature for at large City Council seat);
  • Submit the petitions;
  • Collect and then redeem the vouchers for cash payments from the City;and
  • Accept contribution limits (see below)

voucher-limits

You’ll notice that a voter can add their voucher to their $250 contribution so the individual limit is essentially $350.

Here’s a couple of other odd provisions. The first one is ripe for legal challenge:

Contributions cannot be accepted if a contributor has spent, or has paid someone, more than $5,000 to lobby the City in the last 12 months.

Does this mean individuals or companies or non-profits. I can’t think of anyone, who would, out of their own bank account, spend $10,000 on a lobbyist. So does the Government Affairs guy at Boeing get cut out of the vouchers? How does that work? It seems really dubious for a person paying taxes into a program to be denied access to it because of their job. We’ll see what the courts say.

Here’s another odd one:

Candidates may be released from the program spending limits if the opposition and independent expenditures go beyond the program spending limits.

Weird. So if Jon Grant is running for the at large Council seat and his opponent raises $500,000, Grant can raise as much money as he wants. Does he keep the vouchers? Does he have to give them back? I thought that was the idea, “to get money out of politics!”

And that brings me to my main point: the purpose of the vouchers is to, well, I can’t quite get a straight answer out of advocates for the program like the Sightline Institute other than some version of, “It means less money in politics.” But does it? That’s still a lot of money. And is the idea, too, that we would get more involvement so we’d get better people running for office — people that might have, you know, unpopular views. You’d think.

But here’s what a socialist told me about the program and whether it would help Jon Grant, a proponent of rent control and a host of other, really bad, but really popular, housing policies:

It solves the problem of needing large sums of money to run for office, and yes, I think it will benefit people I support.

And at last report that seems like exactly what’s happening, Grant is already up to $50,000 in democracy vouchers. The socialists and everyone in town who advocates for growth moratoriums and height limits, are against microhousing, and for taxing new housing will be rushing to give Grant their vouchers. Good work Sightline Institute. I really don’t get it. I think that supporters like Sightline will be in real trouble with urbanists and the housing community when Grant’s win is attributed, in part, to democracy vouchers.

Also, and this is another reason why sometime smart people shouldn’t be left alone with legislation, this is a form of price control for campaign spending. The guys at Sightline seem to be saying, just like advocates for rent control, the price is just too high! Let’s put a limit on spending. But what does campaign money fund? Communication, and for a pro market person to stand up to the people that will be supporting Grant, is going to take money to make that case to people on the fence.

And vouchers will create inflation of campaign costs. When consultants and mail houses realize there is a set universe of dollars, they are going to charge more for their work, knowing there won’t be more money raised in the future. And instead of chasing dollars, candidates will be chasing vouchers.

fullsizerender

A great business idea would be a service that charged 10 percent on all vouchers wrangled for the candidate. This is almost inevitable. Do you get it? By limiting expenditures you’re not limiting corruption or greed, you’re making it harder for views that are good economics but unpopular from getting a fair hearing. That makes no sense. If anything, we need more money in politics, and that’s why a matching funds program would make a lot more sense.

But sometimes feeling passes for cleverness and long term thinking about democracy and how it works. When Congresswoman Pramila Jaypal took to the floor of the Congress she protested the election of Donald Trump as electoral votes were counted. She was gaveled down by Vice President Joe Biden. About 5 minutes later I got this in my e-mail in box:

jaypal-cash

I pointed out that Jaypal’s stunt was intended to get her attention but also to raise money. She probably raised a lot. I said, “She’s fitting right in” when I posted this to Facebook. To which one of her supporters responded:

I’ve got no problem with her raising money. I have a problem with it being necessary.

Yeah, me too. And rent. I’ve got no problem with people working to pay rent, but I have a problem with it being necessary. It’s unfortunate that we’re wasting $3,000,000 tax payer dollars on a gimmick that is likely to get someone antithetical to our agenda elected while doing absolutely nothing to benefit democracy. Once again, instead of taking the obvious root of increasing the supply of money to engage in democratic communication, Sightline and others have tried to limit supply. Hardly democratic.